xG Predictions For Betting Profit
This is being massively overlooked
Here was our last tips based on the xG table for futures.
All of them are looking absolutely top notch!
1.5 units Man Utd to finish top 6 at 2/1.
2 units Fulham to finish top half at 11/10.
3 units Leicester to be relegated 1.75
Man City are top of the xG charts according to Footystats model.
They’re not reliable enough at stopping transitions but the Man City goals markets are great looking value. The team over 1.5 goals.
BTTS and Over 2.5 goals in the same game.
Value to be had on City goals per game.
Nottingham Forest have a top 4 defence by most metrics and City put up 3.2 xG against them before the derby defeat. Villa next for them away, dont turn your nose up at city goals and overs.
Aston Villa have less xG at home than City do away but still, there’s no value on the City line here. Double Chance for Villa or a draw no bet might be a better punt. Our best bet is looking like the Over 2.5 and BTTS at 1.83.
Brentford vs Nottingham Forest
Brentford are the BTTS masters with a staggering 88% hit rate. Forest are a coin flip at 50/50. To squeeze value out of this BTTS Yes in 2nd half looks great value at 2.75. Forest like to keep things tight and have gone in at half time at 0-0 many times this season.
Stopping Brentford scoring at home seems a tall order even for a defence as solid as Forest. And Chris Wood and co are still looking potent with a goal wrongfully disallowed in his last game.
TIPS:
Villa and City Over 2.5 and BTTS
Brentford vs Forest BTTS in 2nd Half